DayStarter

India's ₹1.27-trillion bet on a full chip ecosystem

DayStarter, Vol. I, No. 47, by Devraj Pant. Indian equities ended almost unchanged after a volatile session. The Nifty 50 closed at 24,072.75, the Sensex at 77,186.87, retail inflation rose to 4.4% in June above the RBI's 4% target, and the Union Cabinet approved Semicon 2.0 with a total outlay of ₹1,27,500 crore.

Market snapshot

24,072.75
Nifty 50 close
Indian equities ended almost unchanged after a volatile session. The Nifty 50 closed at 24,072.75, down 0.02% from the previous close of 24,078.50.
4.4%
Retail inflation, June
Retail inflation rose to 4.4% in June. This was the first time since January 2025 that it moved above the RBI’s medium-term target of 4%.
₹1,27,500 cr
Semicon 2.0 outlay
The Union Cabinet approved Semicon 2.0 on 15 July 2026 for the development of India’s semiconductor design and manufacturing ecosystem. The total budget outlay is ₹1,27,500 crore.

Equities and sectors

Indian equities ended almost unchanged after a volatile session. The Nifty 50 closed at 24,072.75, down 0.02% from the previous close of 24,078.50. It opened at 24,142.10, touched an intraday high of 24,186.50, and fell to a low of 24,050.00.

The index opened with a 64-point gap up at 24,142 after positive global cues. It moved near 24,170 in the first hour, slipped near 24,050 around 1:40 PM, and then moved back above 24,100. The session was described as “closed the day flat at 24,072.75… after a volatile session marked by sharp swings in the second half”.

The Sensex closed at 77,186.87, almost unchanged from the previous close of 77,185.43. Nifty Bank closed at 57,582.25, down 0.30%. Broader indices were mixed. Nifty Smallcap 250 rose 0.06%, while Nifty Next 50, Nifty Midcap 150, and Nifty Microcap 250 closed lower.

The Nifty 50 and Sensex ended almost unchanged
Benchmark and broader index closes, 16 July 2026
IndexDay closeDay changePrevious close
Nifty 5024,072.75−0.02%24,078.50
Sensex77,186.870.00%77,185.43
Nifty Next 5071,896.75−0.35%72,148.80
Nifty Midcap 15023,060.05−0.40%23,153.40
Nifty Smallcap 25018,109.05+0.06%18,097.85
Nifty Microcap 25025,324.70−0.47%25,443.15

Zerodha AfterMarket Report

Sectoral indices

Consumer Durables and Media were the strongest sectoral indices. Realty, PSU Bank, Metal, Bank, Service, and Energy closed lower.

Exhibit 2
Consumer Durables and Media led; Realty lagged
Sectoral index moves, %, 16 July 2026
+1.48 Cons. Durables +1.18 Media +0.67 IT +0.46 Auto +0.25 FMCG Realty −0.98 PSU Bank −0.46 Metal −0.33

Zerodha AfterMarket Report, 16 July 2026 close.

Winners and losers among F&O stocks

ABB and Dixon led the F&O gainers, each up more than 6%, while ICICIGI was the biggest loser, down 10.78%.

Exhibit 3
ABB led F&O gainers as ICICIGI slid 10.78%
F&O top gainers and losers, %, 16 July 2026
+6.26 ABB +6.21 DIXON +5.48 IEX +5.31 UPL +5.30 BHEL ICICIGI −10.78 HDFCAMC −4.70 NUVAMA −3.61 NAM-INDIA −3.45 POLICYBZR −3.09

Zerodha Technicals.

Commodities and currency

Gold and silver closed lower, while crude oil, zinc, copper, and aluminium closed higher. Natural gas fell slightly.

Crude oil rose while gold and silver eased
MCX commodity futures, 16 July 2026
Futures, MCXPriceDay changePrevious close
Gold₹1,41,509.00−0.24%₹1,41,850.00
Silver₹2,18,791.00−0.83%₹2,20,620.00
Crude Oil₹7,662.00+0.64%₹7,613.00
Natural Gas₹281.90−0.28%₹282.70
Zinc₹376.90+0.73%₹374.15
Copper₹1,313.05+0.10%₹1,311.75
Aluminium₹343.40+0.56%₹341.50

Zerodha

The currency values differed across the two sources. Both values are kept as reported, and the difference is not reconciled.

Currency, bond yields, and crude references
Selected readings, 16 July 2026
ItemReadingSource
USDINR96.45, down 0.04%, previous 96.49Zerodha market table
Rupee against dollar₹96.42 to the dollar, up ₹0.17Mint, Mark to Market
US 10-year yield4.54, down 0.87%Zerodha
India 10-year yield6.75, down 0.32%Zerodha
Crude oil referenceHeld above $80 per barrel, near one-month highsZerodha Top Stories Globally
Oil reference$84.14, up $0.88Mint front page
Brent crude referenceAbove $85 a barrel, more than 15% higher than the pre-war priceMint Global, AP

Zerodha; Mint, 17 July 2026

Institutional flows

Foreign institutional investors, or FIIs, and domestic institutional investors, or DIIs, moved in opposite directions on 16 July. FIIs recorded a net figure of −₹4,206.0 crore, while DIIs recorded a net figure of +₹2,986.0 crore.

FIIs sold while DIIs bought across the last five sessions
FII and DII net flows, ₹ crore
DateFII net value, ₹ croreDII net value, ₹ crore
16 Jul−4,206.0+2,986.0
15 Jul−736.0+705.0
14 Jul−3,062.0+2,928.0
13 Jul−3,062.0+2,172.0
10 Jul+2,604.0+2,020.0
5-day total−8,462.0+10,811.0

Zerodha; NSE

Across the five sessions shown, the FII net total was −₹8,462.0 crore. The DII net total was +₹10,811.0 crore.

Exhibit 7
DIIs bought ₹10,811 crore as FIIs sold ₹8,462 crore over five sessions
FII and DII net flows, five-session total, ₹ crore
+10,811 cr DII net FII net −8,462 cr

Zerodha; NSE.

The 16 July close report did not carry a Thematic Indices section. For thematic index movements, the source pointed to the Tijori App or the NSE/BSE portals. No thematic figures are stated here because none were present in the source.

Zerodha AfterMarket Report, 16 July 2026 close; Mint, 17 July 2026

Macro view

Domestic macro, policy, and inflation

Retail inflation rose to 4.4% in June. This was the first time since January 2025 that it moved above the RBI’s medium-term target of 4%. Retail inflation tracks prices paid by consumers. Food inflation rose to 5.3% from 4.8%, based on statistics ministry data cited in Mint Plain Facts, source CMIE.

India’s net direct tax collections rose 16% year-on-year to ₹6.5 trillion in FY27 up to 13 July. The increase was driven by corporate and non-corporate receipts, based on official data cited in Mint Plain Facts.

Moody’s Analytics expects global GDP growth to slow to 2.5% in 2026 from 2.9% in 2025, before recovering to 2.8% in 2027. It said India will “lose a step” amid an extended US-Iran war.

Several institutions have also lowered or stated India growth projections for FY27. The RBI has lowered its projection to 6.6% from 6.9%. The World Bank also pegs India growth at 6.6%. The ADB trimmed its projection to 6.6% from 6.9%. The IMF lowered its view to 6.4% from 6.5%.

Institutions lowered or held India’s FY27 growth near 6.4-6.6%
India FY27 GDP growth projections
InstitutionFY27 projectionPrevious
RBI6.6%6.9%
World Bank6.6%
ADB6.6%6.9%
IMF6.4%6.5%

Mint, 17 July 2026

CAFE III, windfall taxes, and schemes

The Centre eased fuel-efficiency targets for carmakers in the latest draft of CAFE III norms released Thursday. Overall fleet targets were relaxed by 7-10%. The draft also introduced a credit-debit system that allows carmakers to buy credits from the Bureau of Energy Efficiency. Supercredits for flex-fuel vehicles were cut to 1.1 from 1.5, and supercredits for strong hybrids were cut to 1.6 from 2. The electric-vehicle supercredit remains unchanged at 3.

CAFE III trimmed supercredits for flex-fuel and strong hybrids
Draft CAFE III supercredits
CategoryNewPrevious
Flex-fuel vehicles1.11.5
Strong hybrids1.62
Electric vehicles33, unchanged

Mint, 17 July 2026

India raised windfall taxes on diesel and jet fuel exports as global oil prices rose amid the US-Iran conflict. The diesel export duty was raised to ₹15.5 per litre from ₹8.5. The aviation turbine fuel duty was raised to ₹14.5 per litre from ₹7.5. The new rates apply from 16 July.

Exhibit 10
Windfall duties on diesel and jet fuel nearly doubled
Export duty, ₹ per litre, previous vs new
8.5 Diesel previous 15.5 Diesel new 7.5 Jet fuel previous 14.5 Jet fuel new

Mint, 17 July 2026.

India is preparing to spend ₹10,000 crore over five years under the Biopharma SHAKTI scheme to build biologics capability. The scheme targets a 5% share of the global biopharmaceutical market. India’s biopharma market is valued at approximately $64.5 billion, based on the India Brand Equity Foundation cited by Mint.

Ahead of the monsoon session beginning 20 July, the government proposed introducing five new bills. These include the MSME Development (Amendment) Bill, 2026 and the Income-tax (Amendment) Bill, 2026, based on the tentative legislative agenda cited by Mint News Wrap.

Other data points

Other data points from Mint Plain Facts and Numbers included three items. RBI attracted $10 billion in inflows after announcing a zero-cost forex swap facility for NRI deposits at its 5 June policy meeting, based on Reuters. HDFC Bank’s FY26 workforce fell by 3,343 as automation expanded. The CAG flagged ₹3,541 crore of excess expenditure in Maharashtra’s Mukhyamantri Majhi Ladki Bahin Yojana.

Three data points: RBI inflows, HDFC headcount, and a CAG flag
From Mint Plain Facts and Numbers
ItemDetail
RBI forex swap inflows$10 billion, after a zero-cost forex swap facility for NRI deposits announced at the 5 June policy meeting
HDFC Bank FY26 workforceFell by 3,343 as automation expanded
CAG audit flag₹3,541 crore of excess expenditure in Maharashtra’s Mukhyamantri Majhi Ladki Bahin Yojana

Mint, 17 July 2026

Corporate action and earnings

Domestic earnings

BHEL swung to profit as Polycab and Tech Mahindra grew fast in Q1FY27
Selected Q1FY27 results
CompanyNet profitRevenue
Wipro₹3,352 crore, up 0.6% YoY₹24,479 crore, up 10.6%
Tech Mahindra₹1,486.3 crore, up 31.7% YoY₹15,711.9 crore, up 17.7%
BHEL₹378 crore, vs a ₹456 crore loss a year ago₹7,698 crore, up 40.3%
Polycab India₹784 crore, up 32.5% YoY₹8,210 crore, up 39%

Zerodha; Mint, 17 July 2026

Wipro, Q1FY27

Net profit rose 0.6% year-on-year to ₹3,352 crore and revenue rose 10.6% to ₹24,479 crore. IT services revenue was $2.61 billion, down 1.4% quarter-on-quarter and up 1% year-on-year. The company announced an interim dividend of ₹2 per equity share.

Another reported comparison showed Wipro’s revenue fell 1.4% sequentially to $2.61 billion and net profit fell 4.7% quarter-on-quarter to $355 million. This was described as its weakest first quarter in three years.

Tech Mahindra, Q1FY27

Net profit rose 31.7% year-on-year to ₹1,486.3 crore, while revenue rose 17.7% to ₹15,711.9 crore. Compared with the March quarter, net profit rose 9.6% and revenue rose 4.2%.

Another reported comparison showed revenue rose 2.2% to $1.66 billion and net profit rose 6.7% to $154 million. This was described as the company’s fastest expansion in three years.

BHEL, Q1FY27

BHEL reported a consolidated net profit of ₹378 crore, compared with a loss of ₹456 crore in the year-ago quarter. Revenue rose 40.3% year-on-year to ₹7,698 crore.

Polycab India, Q1FY27

Net profit rose 32.5% year-on-year to ₹784 crore, and revenue rose 39% to ₹8,210 crore. EBITDA rose 32.5% to ₹1,136 crore. The EBITDA margin was 13.8%, compared with 14.5% a year earlier.

Exhibit 13
BHEL and Polycab led Q1FY27 revenue growth
Revenue growth, % YoY, Q1FY27
BHEL Polycab India Tech Mahindra Wipro +40.3% +39.0% +17.7% +10.6%

Zerodha.

Deals and other headlines

HCLTech and Guardian

HCLTech will acquire Guardian India Operations for $10.5 million, about ₹101 crore. Nearly 2,000 employees will transfer as part of a seven-year partnership with Guardian Life Insurance Company of America.

Mobile PLI and EMS

The Centre’s new ₹62,500-crore Mobile Phone Manufacturing Scheme offers incentives of 2.25-5%, with an additional 1.5% for local value addition. On the day, Dixon Technologies (India) rose 6.1%, Kaynes Technology India rose 3%, Amber Enterprises India rose 2%, and Syrma SGS Technology rose 1.5%.

Exhibit 14
EMS stocks rose after the new Mobile Phone Manufacturing Scheme
Share price move, %, 16 July 2026
Dixon Kaynes Amber Syrma +6.1% +3.0% +2.0% +1.5%

Mint, 17 July 2026.

Cred and Meta

Kunal Shah stepped down as promoter of Cred on 22 June. His 11.14% promoter shareholding was converted into public shares, and he continued to hold about 20%. Meta invested ₹8,550 crore, about $890 million, for about 20% in Cred on 22 June. The transaction valued the startup at nearly $4.5 billion.

Jio Financial, Q1

Net profit rose to ₹830 crore, or $86.2 million, for the quarter ended 30 June. Net profit was ₹325 crore a year ago. Revenue from operations rose to ₹2,004 crore.

Aurum and Housing.com

Aurum PropTech announced the acquisition of Housing.com in an all-equity deal at an enterprise value of ₹458 crore.

Deals in focus: HCLTech, Cred, Jio Financial, and Aurum
Selected corporate deals and results
CompanyDevelopmentDetail
HCLTech and GuardianWill acquire Guardian India Operations for $10.5 million, about ₹101 croreNearly 2,000 employees transfer in a seven-year partnership with Guardian Life Insurance Company of America
Cred and MetaMeta invested ₹8,550 crore, about $890 million, for about 20% in Cred on 22 JuneThe transaction valued the startup at nearly $4.5 billion; Kunal Shah stepped down as promoter on 22 June
Jio FinancialNet profit rose to ₹830 crore, or $86.2 million, for the quarter ended 30 JuneNet profit was ₹325 crore a year ago; revenue from operations rose to ₹2,004 crore
Aurum PropTechAnnounced the acquisition of Housing.com in an all-equity dealEnterprise value of ₹458 crore

Mint, 17 July 2026

Upcoming events

Scheduled releases, not confirmed outcomes.

The economic calendar runs from FX reserves to China’s rate decision
Scheduled releases, 17-20 July 2026
DateEvent
17 July 2026FX Reserves
17 July 2026Inflation (Final), Euro area
20 July 2026FDI Net Inflows
20 July 2026Core Sector
20 July 2026Inflation, Canada
20 July 2026Central Bank Policy Rate, China

Zerodha Economic Calendar

Earnings calendar: 17 July 2026

Reliance Industries headlines the 17 July earnings slate
Companies reporting, 17 July 2026
CompanyCompany
Reliance IndustriesRBL Bank
JSW SteelJayaswal Neco Industries
Federal BankTurtlemint Fintech Solutions
Havells IndiaTatva Chintan Pharma Chem
Oberoi RealtyGlobus Spirits
Poonawalla FincorpNavkar Corporation
Tata TechnologiesAmal
Central Bank of IndiaChembond Material Technologies
 Pil Italica Lifestyle

Zerodha

Global pulse

Global indices

Global equity markets were mixed. The Hang Seng rose 1.33% and the Dow Jones added 0.29%, while the Nikkei 225 fell 2.79%, the Shanghai Composite fell 1.85%, and the Nasdaq 100, S&P 500, and FTSE 100 closed lower.

Exhibit 18
Asian markets fell as the Hang Seng bucked the trend
Global index moves, %, previous close
+1.33 Hang Seng +0.29 Dow Nikkei −2.79 Shanghai −1.85 Nasdaq 100 −0.54 FTSE 100 −0.22 S&P 500 −0.13

Zerodha; Mint, 17 July 2026.

International headlines

Crude and US-Iran

Crude held above $80 per barrel near one-month highs as escalating US-Iran hostilities increased concern about Middle East supply. The reports cited fresh US strikes near Iran’s main oil export terminal and the suspension of crude loading at Iraq’s Basra terminal after a drone strike.

The US intensified strikes on Iran and hit targets around Tehran. Iran retaliated with missile and drone fire on US allies. Brent traded above $85 a barrel.

Eurozone trade

The Eurozone recorded a €7.8 billion trade deficit in May 2026. A trade deficit means imports were higher than exports. This reversed a €15 billion surplus a year earlier and marked the Eurozone’s largest monthly shortfall since April 2023. The deficit was driven by a 10% increase in imports.

EU and Google

The European Commission directed Google to provide fair access to key services for AI rivals such as OpenAI and competing search engines under the EU’s Digital Markets Act.

Nvidia and Japan

Nvidia partnered with Japanese companies including Fanuc and Yaskawa Electric to accelerate AI and robotics development.

Atai Beckley and Eli Lilly

Shares of Atai Beckley rose as much as 50% in premarket trading after reports that Eli Lilly is in advanced talks to acquire the company at a premium. Atai Beckley’s market capitalisation was about $1.97 billion before the report.

US green-card bond

The Trump administration is considering placing a $100,000 bond on some green-card seekers applying at US consulates abroad. A pilot is under discussion for a small number of countries.

Zerodha; Mint Global, 17 July 2026

Management chatter

The following quotes are kept verbatim and attributed to the named speakers.

“It is tough to find value when everybody is preferring gambling.”
Warren Buffett, Berkshire Hathaway
“The demand environment, I feel there has been a degree of volatility, but on the whole, we have a good order book, we have a good set of client relationships. We will deliver growth in what is seasonally a hard quarter for us.”
Mohit Joshi, CEO, Tech Mahindra
“I think discretionary spend is also, you know, going slow at this point in time, and I would say the demand environment from the last quarter of my commentary to this quarter has not changed.”
Srinivas Pallia, CEO, Wipro
“If the Strait of Hormuz remains closed, we may again have some difficulty for global economies, including those in the region and developing nations and Asia.”
Fatih Birol, Executive Director, IEA

Zerodha Management Chatter; Mint, 17 July 2026

Feature: Semicon 2.0

India’s ₹1.27-trillion bet on a full chip ecosystem

What was approved

The Union Cabinet, chaired by Prime Minister Narendra Modi, approved Semicon 2.0 on 15 July 2026 for the development of India’s semiconductor design and manufacturing ecosystem. The total budget outlay is ₹1,27,500 crore.

The programme builds on the momentum of Semicon 1.0, the ₹76,000-crore India Semiconductor Mission approved by the Cabinet in December 2021. In the PIB’s words, the aim is “putting our country on the semiconductor map of the world”.

The government expects Semicon 2.0 to attract investments of around ₹4 trillion and lead to semiconductor production worth ₹2 trillion during the scheme period. The stated target is a 7nm chip by 2032 and a 2nm chip by 2035.

The six pillars

  • Design: Build on chip-design success, with 105 startups already developing chips. The aim is to develop IPs, designs of chips and systems, and place India as “a key semiconductor chip design IP country”.
  • Machines and materials: Incentivise companies manufacturing and undertaking R&D of the machines, materials, chemicals, and gases essential for manufacturing semiconductors.
  • Setting up more fabs: With the first fab scheduled to be commissioned in 2028, attract more manufacturers to set up silicon fabs, compound semiconductor fabs, discrete component fabs, and display fabs.
  • Strengthening ATMP/OSAT: Actively encourage ATMP/OSAT units, with a focus on getting some of the most advanced ATMP technologies to India.
  • Research and Development: Having started at the 28nm-110nm node, focus on developing more advanced nodes and technologies with leading R&D centres within and outside India.
  • Talent development: With 315 universities training students on complex chip design using the latest EDA tools, around 68,000 students have already been trained. Training is to be deepened, including clean-room and fab-construction skills.

Progress under ISM 1.0

Under manufacturing, twelve units have been approved with a cumulative investment of over ₹1.64 lakh crore. These include one silicon fab, one silicon carbide fab, an integrated Gallium Nitride Micro LED display fab, and nine packaging units. Of the 12 units, Micron, Kaynes, and CG Semi have started commercial production, with one more expected to start in 2026.

Under design, twenty-four semiconductor design projects from startups and MSMEs have been approved for financial support. A total of 105 startups and MSMEs have been granted access to industry-standard Electronic Design Automation, or EDA, tools. These projects span applications from satellite communications and drones to IoT devices, AI systems, and smart meters.

ISM 1.0: twelve manufacturing units and 24 design projects approved
Progress under the India Semiconductor Mission
MetricDetail
Manufacturing units approvedTwelve, with cumulative investment over ₹1.64 lakh crore
Facility mixOne silicon fab, one silicon carbide fab, one integrated Gallium Nitride Micro LED display fab, and nine packaging units
In commercial productionMicron, Kaynes, and CG Semi, with one more expected in 2026
Design projects approvedTwenty-four from startups and MSMEs
EDA tool access105 startups and MSMEs

Press Information Bureau, 15 July 2026

Context from Mint

For the first time, large chip-design firms will be eligible for government aid. A key change is a cut in incentives, from up to 50% fiscal support for a chip project to around 30-40%.

India now targets a domestic chip market worth $200 billion by 2035. Nearly 90-95% of demand is currently met through imports. India accounts for 20% of the global chip-design workforce. India has an outlay of nearly $21 billion so far, which lags the US’ $52.7 billion, the EU’s $50 billion, Japan’s $28 billion from FY21 to FY23, and China’s $324 billion over the past 10 years, based on a Niti Aayog report cited by Mint.

Exhibit 19
India's chip outlay lags the US, EU, Japan, and China
Semiconductor support outlay, $ billion
China US EU Japan India $324B $52.7B $50B $28B $21B

Niti Aayog, cited by Mint.

The focus is on creating chips in six critical segments, including compute, memory, power management, sensors, and network. Under a separate co-investment plan, the government will match private investments in eligible chip-design startups in return for equity.

Press Information Bureau, 15 July 2026; Mint, 17 July 2026

The day at a glance

The Nifty ended flat as inflation topped 4% and crude held above $85
Key metrics of the day
IndicatorReading
Nifty 5024,072.75, down 0.02%
Sensex77,186.87, almost unchanged
Nifty Bank57,582.25, down 0.30%
Crude Oil, MCX₹7,662.00, up 0.64%
Brent crudeAbove $85 a barrel
Retail inflation, June4.4%, above the RBI’s 4% target
Food inflation, June5.3%, from 4.8%
Direct tax collections, FY27 to 13 July₹6.5 trillion, up 16% YoY
FII net, 16 July−₹4,206.0 crore
DII net, 16 July+₹2,986.0 crore
Semicon 2.0 outlay₹1,27,500 crore

Zerodha AfterMarket Report, 16 July 2026 close; Mint, 17 July 2026

Closing thought

“It is tough to find value when everybody is preferring gambling.”
Warren Buffett, Berkshire Hathaway

Compiled from the Zerodha AfterMarket Report, 16 July 2026 close, and Mint, Mumbai edition, 17 July 2026; feature from the Press Information Bureau, 15 July 2026. Market data reflects the Thursday, 16 July close. For informational purposes only. Not investment advice.

About the author Devraj Pant

Devraj works as a Wealth Manager at Dhanashree Wealth Pvt. Ltd. He is a CFA Level II candidate.

Compiled from the Zerodha AfterMarket Report (16 July 2026 close) and Mint (17 July 2026); feature from the Press Information Bureau (15 July 2026). Market data reflects the Thursday, 16 July close. For information only, not a recommendation to buy or sell any security.

Get the morning market brief

A fast, fact-dense read on markets and the economy, in your inbox before the open.